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Insight of the Day: Where next for premium gin?

Findings:

The premium gin market experienced rapid growth in Spain and the UK starting from 2008 and 2013, respectively, with significant boosts during the pandemic. However, as consumers shifted away from flavoured gins, which had previously driven much of the market's growth, the category is now experiencing a decline in both the UK and Spain. By contrast, markets like India, Japan, and the US are seeing emerging growth opportunities in the premium gin segment, particularly through craft gin and high-end super-premium offerings.

Key Takeaway:

The global premium gin market is experiencing mixed results. While traditional markets like the UK and Spain are contracting, new growth is being driven in markets such as India, Japan, and the US, where craft innovation and cocktail culture are thriving. Super-premium and ultra-premium gin categories are outperforming lower premium tiers.

Trend:

The trend has shifted from flavoured gins, which were highly popular during the pandemic, to more localized, craft offerings and super-premium products. Markets like India and Japan are embracing gin for its versatility and local ingredient potential.

Consumer Motivation:

Consumers in emerging gin markets are driven by the desire for premium experiences, craft authenticity, and the novelty of exploring local flavors. Cocktail culture, especially with drinks like the gin and tonic and negroni, is further motivating interest in higher-end gin.

What is Driving the Trend:

  1. Craft gin innovation: Local ingredients and small-batch production are key drivers in markets like India and Japan.

  2. Post-pandemic cocktail culture: Consumers are seeking premium spirits for home and bar use, driving interest in super-premium gins.

  3. Global exploration: Younger demographics in the US and other regions are experimenting with boutique gins from non-traditional gin-producing countries like Ireland, Japan, and Mexico.

People Referenced in the Article:

  • Patrick Fisher: Senior Research Analyst at IWSR, discussing flavoured gin's role in driving growth.

  • Dan Mettyear: Research Director at IWSR, noting the decline of gin's popularity in Europe.

Consumers/Products/Services:

The article discusses premium and super-premium gin consumers, especially in emerging markets like India, Japan, and the US. These consumers are increasingly interested in boutique, craft gins and high-end spirits that reflect local flavors and innovations, such as different barrel finishes and unique flavor profiles.

Conclusions:

While the premium gin market has declined in traditional strongholds like the UK and Spain, growth opportunities are emerging in India, Japan, the US, and parts of Europe. Craft gin and super-premium segments are poised for expansion as consumers look for authentic, innovative spirits.

Implications for Brands:

Brands should focus on emerging markets like India and Japan, where craft gin and super-premium offerings are gaining momentum. Product innovation through local ingredients and unique flavor profiles will be essential to capture consumer interest.

Implications for Society:

The shifting premium gin market reflects broader consumer interest in local craftsmanship and authentic experiences. As cocktail culture grows, gin is evolving from a casual drink to a more premium and sophisticated spirit, influencing social drinking trends.

Implications for Consumers:

Consumers can expect a wider variety of premium gins, particularly in markets like the US and Japan, where craft producers are experimenting with new flavors and techniques. The trend toward super-premium products offers an elevated drinking experience but may also come at higher prices.

Implications for the Future:

The future of premium gin will likely see slow growth in traditional markets like Spain and the UK, but strong gains in emerging markets. Continued innovation, especially in craft production and cocktail culture, will drive the category forward.

Consumer Trend:

The key trend is the shift from mass-market flavoured gins to boutique, craft gins and super-premium offerings, appealing to consumers who value authenticity and innovation in their spirits.

Consumer Sub-Trend:

A sub-trend is the growing popularity of local craft gins, especially in India and Japan, where consumers are interested in exploring regional flavors and unique gin expressions.

Big Social Trend:

The rise of cocktail culture and the demand for premium spirits is reshaping global drinking habits, with consumers gravitating toward artisan-crafted beverages and luxury drinking experiences.

Worldwide Social Trend:

Globally, there is a move toward craftsmanship in spirits, with gin joining other categories like whiskey and tequila in the premiumization trend. As consumers increasingly seek quality over quantity, the demand for super-premium and craft spirits will likely grow.

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