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Insight of the Day: Dupes, vintage, fast fashion: Who wins during a luxury slowdown?

Writer's picture: InsightTrendsWorldInsightTrendsWorld

Detailed Findings:

  • Aspirational shoppers are tightening their spending on traditional luxury.

  • Alternative sectors are thriving: high street designer collaborations, resale platforms, dupes, counterfeits, premium grocery, and experiential retail.

  • Luxury's meaning is evolving, with consumers prioritizing climate consciousness, craftsmanship, supply chain transparency, cultural relevance, and meaningful experiences.

  • Dupes: Consumers are scrutinizing value more closely, leading to the rise of "dupe culture" (high-quality imitations). Around 1/3 of US adults have purchased a dupe, rising to nearly 1/2 for Gen Z and 44% for millennials. 47% of UK consumers are open to buying luxury lookalikes. Counterfeits are also on the rise. Brands like Lululemon and Charlotte Tilbury are fighting back with creative campaigns. Quince and Italic offer unbranded, quality basics similar to luxury styles. Quince's revenue grew from $140 million in 2022 to $340.3 million in 2024.

  • Resale:  Climate consciousness and affordability are driving the growth of secondhand luxury. 44% of luxury consumers have purchased secondhand/vintage in the past year, 46% are more interested in it than a year ago. Vestiaire Collective saw 25% revenue increase. Brands like Isabel Marant and Alexander McQueen are partnering with resale platforms.

  • Cultural Relevance: Brands like Loewe (using TikTok effectively) are thriving by connecting with digital culture. Represent and Our Legacy are winning by embracing their cultural cachet and aligning with niche communities. Represent expects £100 million turnover, Our Legacy reported £33 million sales.

  • High Street & Fast Fashion: High street brands are collaborating with designers to offer more affordable luxury. Zara partnered with Kate Moss and Stefano Pilati, Marks & Spencer with Bella Freud, H&M with Rokh. H&M sees their designer collaborations as having long-term cultural relevance and brand elevation.

  • New "Splurge" Items: Groceries are a top spending priority, especially for younger generations. Organic food and drink sales are growing faster than non-organic. Delli (artisanal food marketplace) and Liquid Death (canned water) are examples of brands capitalizing on this trend. Luxury brands are expanding into hospitality (Louis Vuitton café, Prada in-store eateries, Aimé Leon Dore café).

Key Takeaway:

As traditional luxury faces a slowdown, consumers are finding value, cultural relevance, and sustainability in alternative channels like dupes, resale, culturally connected brands, high street collaborations, and even premium groceries. This signifies a shift in what consumers define as "luxury" and how they choose to spend their money.

Main Trend:

The Diversification of Value Seeking in the Face of Luxury Fatigue

Description of the Trend:

This trend reflects a shift in consumer behavior where traditional luxury is no longer the sole object of desire or the only way to experience a sense of indulgence. Consumers, especially younger generations, are redefining value and seeking it in a variety of channels and product categories that align with their values, budgets, and desire for cultural connection. They are moving away from simply buying luxury to finding things of value.

Consumer Motivation:

  • Value for Money: Seeking quality and durability without overpaying for brand names.

  • Sustainability:  Growing awareness of environmental impact and preference for ethical consumption.

  • Cultural Relevance:  Desire to connect with brands that reflect their values and interests.

  • Authenticity:  Seeking genuine experiences and products that feel meaningful.

  • Affordability:  Finding ways to experience a sense of luxury or indulgence within their budget.

  • Uniqueness: Finding items that are not easily replicated.

What is Driving the Trend:

  • Luxury Price Inflation:  Prices have risen significantly, making traditional luxury less accessible.

  • Quality Concerns:  Perceptions of declining quality in some luxury brands.

  • Rise of "Dupe Culture":  Social media and online communities promoting high-quality imitations.

  • Growth of Resale Market:  Increased acceptance and accessibility of secondhand luxury.

  • Shifting Values:  Younger generations prioritize experiences, sustainability, and cultural relevance.

  • Economic Uncertainty:  Cost of living crisis leading to more discerning spending.

  • Increased awareness of ethical and sustainable options.

Motivation Beyond the Trend:

A desire for more conscious and meaningful consumption. Consumers are seeking authenticity, transparency, and a sense of connection with the brands and products they choose. They want their purchases to reflect their values and contribute to a more sustainable and equitable future.

Who are the People the Article is Referring To:

Aspirational luxury consumers who are now priced out of the market or disillusioned with traditional luxury, especially younger generations (Gen Z and millennials).

Description of Consumers the Product or Service the Article is Referring to and What is Their Age:

  • Demographics:  A broad range of consumers, but with a particular focus on Gen Z and millennials. Income levels may vary, but they are generally price-conscious and value-driven.

  • Psychographics:  Discerning, value-conscious, and culturally aware. They are interested in sustainability, authenticity, and experiences. They are often digitally savvy and influenced by social media trends. They are skeptical of traditional luxury marketing and seek out brands that align with their values.

  • Age:  All ages, but with a strong emphasis on Gen Z (born 1997-2012) and millennials (born 1981-1996).

Conclusions:

The luxury slowdown is not just about economic factors; it's a reflection of a deeper shift in consumer values and priorities. Consumers are redefining what luxury means to them and are seeking value, authenticity, and cultural relevance in a variety of channels beyond traditional luxury brands.

Implications for Brands:

  • Re-evaluate Value Proposition:  Luxury brands need to justify their prices with demonstrable quality, craftsmanship, and ethical practices.

  • Embrace Transparency:  Be open about production processes, materials, and supply chains.

  • Connect with Culture:  Find authentic ways to engage with contemporary culture and niche communities.

  • Explore New Channels:  Consider resale, collaborations, and experiential retail.

  • Cater to "New" Luxury Values:  Offer products and experiences that align with evolving definitions of luxury (sustainability, well-being, cultural relevance).

  • Don't ignore the rise of dupes: Address the issue head-on by emphasizing quality and uniqueness.

  • Consider offering more accessible price points or smaller luxury items.

Implications for Society:

  • Potential democratization of luxury and a broader definition of what constitutes a "luxury" experience.

  • Increased demand for transparency and ethical practices from brands.

  • Growth of alternative consumption models (resale, dupes, collaborations).

  • Greater emphasis on sustainability and conscious consumption.

Implications for Consumers:

  • More options for experiencing a sense of luxury and indulgence.

  • Greater access to high-quality goods at more affordable prices.

  • Increased awareness of the impact of their consumption choices.

  • More ways to express their values through their purchases.

Implication for Future:

The trend of seeking value and cultural relevance beyond traditional luxury is likely to continue. Brands that adapt to these evolving consumer desires will thrive, while those that cling to outdated models may struggle. The future of luxury will likely be more diverse, inclusive, and focused on values beyond mere status.

Consumer Trend (Detailed Description):

The core consumer trend is The Pursuit of Value and Meaning Beyond Traditional Luxury. Consumers are redefining what constitutes luxury and are seeking value, authenticity, sustainability, and cultural relevance in a variety of channels and product categories. They are moving beyond brand names and status symbols to find products and experiences that align with their values and offer a genuine sense of indulgence or fulfillment.

Consumer Sub-Trend (Detailed Description):

A significant sub-trend is the Rise of the Conscious Aspirational Shopper. This consumer segment still desires a sense of luxury and quality but is more discerning about how and where they spend their money. They are drawn to brands and products that offer ethical production, sustainable practices, cultural relevance, and demonstrable value, even if it means choosing alternatives to traditional luxury brands.

Big Social Trend (Detailed Description):

The overarching social trend is the Shifting Definition of Status and Value. Traditional status symbols are losing their appeal, especially among younger generations. Consumers are increasingly seeking out brands and products that reflect their values, offer meaningful experiences, and contribute to a sense of well-being. Status is being redefined by conscious consumption and cultural capital.

Local Trend (Detailed Description):

The article mentions the rise of premium and organic groceries as a "splurge" category, particularly in the UK where organic food and drink sales are outpacing conventional products. This suggests a localized trend where everyday essentials are being elevated to a form of accessible luxury or a treat.

Worldwide Social Trend (Detailed Description):

A relevant worldwide social trend is the Globalization of the Conscious Consumer Movement. Consumers around the world are becoming more aware of the social and environmental impact of their choices. They are increasingly seeking out brands that are transparent, ethical, and sustainable, regardless of geographic boundaries.

Name of the Big Trend Implied by Article:

The Reimagination of Luxury

Name of Big Social Trend Implied by Article:

The Global Rise of Conscious Consumerism

Social Drive (Detailed Description):

The social drive behind these trends is a desire for Authenticity, Meaningful Connection, and Responsible Consumption. Consumers are seeking out brands and products that reflect their values, offer genuine experiences, and contribute to a more sustainable and equitable future. They want to feel good about their purchases, knowing that they are making informed choices that align with their personal beliefs and contribute to something larger than themselves.

Learnings for Companies to Use in 2025:

  • Consumers are redefining luxury and seeking value beyond traditional brand names.

  • Sustainability, ethical practices, and cultural relevance are becoming increasingly important.

  • Dupes, resale, and high street collaborations are viable alternatives for aspirational shoppers.

  • Groceries and everyday essentials are being viewed as potential "splurge" items.

  • Transparency and authenticity are crucial for building trust with consumers.

Strategy Recommendations for Companies to Follow in 2025:

  1. Re-evaluate value proposition and pricing strategies.

  2. Emphasize quality, craftsmanship, and durability.

  3. Embrace transparency in supply chains and production processes.

  4. Invest in sustainable and ethical practices.

  5. Connect with contemporary culture and niche communities.

  6. Explore new channels like resale and collaborations.

  7. Offer products and experiences that align with evolving definitions of luxury.

  8. Address the rise of dupes by highlighting the unique value and quality of authentic products.

  9. Consider offering more accessible price points or smaller luxury items.

  10. Recognize the growing importance of groceries and everyday essentials as potential areas for brand expansion or innovation.

Final Sentence (Key Concept) Describing Main Trend from Article):

Consumers are increasingly seeking value, authenticity, and cultural relevance beyond the confines of traditional luxury, driving a diversification of spending towards dupes, resale, high street collaborations, and even premium groceries, signaling a profound reimagining of what constitutes luxury in today's market.

What Brands & Companies Should Do in 2025 to Benefit from the Trend and How to Do It:

In 2025, brands and companies should adapt to the evolving definition of luxury by embracing transparency, sustainability, and cultural relevance, while also exploring new channels and product categories that offer value and meaningful experiences to a broader range of consumers. They can achieve this by re-evaluating their value proposition, investing in ethical practices, connecting with contemporary culture, partnering with resale platforms, collaborating with high street brands, and recognizing the potential of everyday essentials as a new form of accessible luxury. They must be seen to provide value.

Final Note:

By implementing these strategies, brands can successfully navigate the reimagination of luxury. They can connect with consumers who are seeking more than just a label; they are seeking products and experiences that reflect their values, offer genuine quality, and contribute to a more sustainable, equitable, and culturally rich world. They can be part of the growing movement towards conscious consumerism, where value is defined by authenticity, meaning, and positive impact, not just price or exclusivity.

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